Polski
Pricier Apples, Smarter Soil: What's in Store for the Organic Industry This Autumn
This week in brief: on one hand, Poland's Central Statistical Office (GUS) and Credit Agricole are tempering expectations with forecasts of pricier fruit and vegetables; on the other, new scientific research hands organic farming a powerful argument in the climate debate. We look at what both stories mean for BIO exhibitors and buyers.
01 · Prices & Harvests
Lower harvests in Poland – BIO prices set to rise
Preliminary GUS data isn't cause for optimism: this year's tree fruit harvest fell by 18.6% year on year, and field vegetable output dropped by 4.5% [1]. This isn't a cosmetic adjustment – it's a scale that will be felt at every stage of the supply chain, from the field to the store shelf.
Credit Agricole analysts leave no doubt about where the price pressure will hit hardest. In their view, the fruit market will feel it most acutely, with apples – Poland's number-one export commodity in this category – taking a particularly hard hit [1]. Lower supply against unchanged demand is a straight path to higher prices, and this mechanism doesn't spare the organic segment. Quite the opposite – BIO products, grown on a smaller scale and without the option of making up losses through chemical yield boosters, may feel the price increases even more strongly than their conventional counterparts.
For BIOEXPO Warsaw exhibitors, this is a signal to start planning price communication with customers and trading partners now. The autumn season, when trade in preserves and fresh harvests traditionally picks up, will this year be a test of margin resilience – but also an opportunity to show that quality and organic certification carry value regardless of fluctuations in the raw materials market.
02 · Climate & Science
Science backs regenerative agriculture
Speaking of the value of organic farming – from a completely different corner of the world comes a study worth keeping in your back pocket for any conversation about the costs of BIO production. The Ecdysis Foundation has published the results of a large, systemic study showing that converting American row-crop farming to regenerative agriculture could store an amount of carbon in the soil equivalent to 1.5 years of the total greenhouse gas emissions of the entire United States [2].
Importantly, the researchers compared this potential to carbon capture and storage technologies – and by their estimates, soil could do more than all the technological solutions planned in this field combined through 2050 [2]. This isn't a marketing argument invented by the industry – it's hard data from the first large-scale systemic study of its kind.
For the Polish BIO market, this is more than a curiosity from across the ocean. It's further proof that organic and regenerative farming is ceasing to be treated as a niche taste preference and is increasingly entering the mainstream of the climate debate – alongside, and sometimes ahead of, purely technological solutions. It's an argument worth having on hand in conversations with investors, local governments, or trading partners weighing where to put their green transition funds.
03
Summary
This week shows two sides of the same coin: short-term cost pressure arising from nature (smaller harvests, higher prices) and the long-term strength of the argument that organic and regenerative farming has to offer in the fight against climate change. Both of these stories – the one about prices and the one about soil as a climate ally – will be topics of hallway conversation at the upcoming edition of BIOEXPO Warsaw – International Trade Fair for Organic Food and Products. We invite exhibitors and buyers to join the discussion on how to turn these challenges and opportunities into concrete business decisions.
Invitation
Want to know how to sell BIO products in a season of pricier fruit, and how to talk to customers about the role of regenerative agriculture in fighting climate change? Visit BIOEXPO Warsaw – International Trade Fair for Organic Food and Products and meet the producers, processors, and experts who are already building answers to these challenges. Reserve your stand or ticket today.
BIOEXPO Warsaw 2026Footnotes
[1] SadyOgrody.pl — https://www.sadyogrody.pl/handel_i_dystrybucja/106/nizsze_zbiory_w_2026_roku_jak_wplyna_na_ceny_owocow_i_warzyw,54835.html[2] GlobeNewswire — https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/09/17/3363925/0/en/regenerative-farming-outpaces-tech-based-carbon-capture-solutions-in-first-large-scale-systemic-study.html